IvyArcIvyArc
6

Ekati's Way

5yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 96

Thistledown · Race 3 - Best Of Ohio Governor's Buckeye Cup Stakes · 1m 2f

#6

Rank

Odds

6/4

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

4%

Rank

#6

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲1
Strength2%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 2.5 /10 (raw 2.7)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.3
Today:
Class gap: -0.8
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Thistledown 15/07/2025 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 88 · 1m 123 · below its mark15/07/2025 · OR 88 par15/07C5OR 88C5 @ Thistledown 14/08/2025 · Pos 10th of 12 · OR 86 · 1m2f 123 · below its mark14/08/2025 · OR 86 parC6 @ Mahoning Valley 28/10/2025 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR 87 · 1m 124 · below its mark28/10/2025 · OR 87 par28/10C6OR 87C6 @ Mahoning Valley 21/01/2026 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR 93 · 1m 124 · beat its mark21/01/2026 · OR 93 parC6 @ Mahoning Valley 23/02/2026 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR 90 · 1m 124 · beat its mark23/02/2026 · OR 90 par23/02C6OR 90C6 @ Mahoning Valley 17/03/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 89 · 1m Gd 126 · below its mark17/03/2026 · OR 89 parC0 @ Mahoning Valley 06/04/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR - · 1m 1246/04C?C5 @ Thistledown 02/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 97 · 1m Slo 123 · below its mark02/05/2026 · OR 97 parC5 @ Thistledown 13/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR 98 · 1m 121 · beat its mark13/07/2026 · OR 98 par13/07C5OR 98projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 8
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-13Thistledown?1st2nd−1
2026-05-02Thistledown?3rd4th−1
2026-04-06Mahoning Valley?1st1st0
2026-03-17Mahoning Valley?3rd4th−1
2026-02-23Mahoning Valley?1st2nd−1
2026-01-21Mahoning Valley?1st2nd−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today15/0721/016/0413/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 8
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▬
Strength89%

What the projection says

Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 5th of 8.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
15/07/20255th10/147%33%-0.14
14/08/202510th16/116%18%+0.02
28/10/20252nd14/126%89%+0.63
21/01/20261st11/893%100%+0.07
23/02/20261st11/486%100%+0.14
17/03/20263rd10/382%60%-0.22
06/04/20261st4/179%100%+0.21
02/05/20263rd11/486%60%-0.26
13/07/20261st6/492%100%+0.08