3
Silence
7yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 88
Thistledown · Race 3 - Best Of Ohio Governor's Buckeye Cup Stakes · 1m 2f
#7
Rank
Odds
15/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength8%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 4.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.3
Today:
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-13 | Thistledown | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-06-17 | Thistledown | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-05-05 | Thistledown | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-03-11 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 7th | 8th | −1 |
| 2026-02-23 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-01-21 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 8
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▼
Strength50%
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 8th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07/2025 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 83% | +0.46 |
| 14/08/2025 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 82% | +0.45 |
| 25/10/2025 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 60% | +0.34 |
| 21/01/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 75% | -0.07 |
| 23/02/2026 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 50% | -0.26 |
| 11/03/2026 | 7th | 7/1 | 63% | 0% | -0.63 |
| 05/05/2026 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 17/06/2026 | 1st | 15/2 | 61% | 100% | +0.39 |
| 13/07/2026 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 50% | -0.11 |