Who Dey
5yo Horse · 8-11 · OR 106
Thistledown · Race 3 - Best Of Ohio Governor's Buckeye Cup Stakes · 1m 2f
#4
Rank
Odds
9/1
Win Prob
2%
Place Prob
8%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 1.0 /10 (raw 2.2)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-30 | Churchill Downs | ? | 2nd | -3th | +4 |
| 2026-05-02 | Churchill Downs | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2025-11-28 | Churchill Downs | ? | 4th | -1th | +4 |
| 2025-10-25 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-09-27 | Churchill Downs | ? | 4th | -1th | +4 |
| 2024-10-26 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/05/2024 | 4th | 10/3 | 82% | 73% | -0.10 |
| 09/06/2024 | 2nd | 11/8 | 93% | 86% | -0.07 |
| 11/08/2024 | 3rd | 13/8 | 91% | 50% | -0.41 |
| 26/10/2024 | 1st | 4/9 | 98% | 100% | +0.02 |
| 27/09/2025 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 50% | +0.03 |
| 25/10/2025 | 1st | 8/15 | 97% | 100% | +0.03 |
| 28/11/2025 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 57% | +0.57 |
| 02/05/2026 | 3rd | 11/4 | 86% | 85% | -0.01 |
| 30/05/2026 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 83% | +0.31 |