2
Boots Malone
4yo Gelding · 8-9 · OR 93
Thistledown · Race 5 - Best Of Ohio Honey Jay Stakes · 6f
#5
Rank
Odds
11/8
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength5%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Class-adjusted form 3.1 /10 (raw 3.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.8
Today:
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-06 | Thistledown | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-06-15 | Thistledown | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2025-11-24 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-10-25 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-09-22 | Thistledown | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2025-08-14 | Thistledown | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 9
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▲
Strength96%
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 4th of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/03/2025 | 1st | 6/4 | 92% | 100% | +0.08 |
| 03/04/2025 | 2nd | 1/2 | 97% | 67% | -0.31 |
| 21/06/2025 | 4th | 3/1 | 84% | 57% | -0.27 |
| 14/08/2025 | 8th | 10/1 | 47% | 13% | -0.35 |
| 22/09/2025 | 1st | 11/8 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 25/10/2025 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 83% | -0.05 |
| 24/11/2025 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 40% | -0.36 |
| 15/06/2026 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 06/07/2026 | 1st | 11/8 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |