IvyArcIvyArc
7

Diamond Dust

10yo Gelding · 8-5 · OR 99

Thistledown · Race 5 - Best Of Ohio Honey Jay Stakes · 6f

#7

Rank

Odds

6/4

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#7

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲1
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 4.1 /10 (raw 3.2)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.4
Today:
Class gap: -0.9
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Presque Isle Downs 21/05/2025 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 91 · 5f110y Fas 123 · below its mark21/05/2025 · OR 91 par21/05C6OR 91C6 @ Presque Isle Downs 11/06/2025 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 90 · 6f Fas 123 · beat its mark11/06/2025 · OR 90 parC6 @ Presque Isle Downs 07/07/2025 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 88 · 6f110y Fas 125 · below its mark07/07/2025 · OR 88 par7/07C6OR 88C6 @ Presque Isle Downs 28/07/2025 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR 94 · 6f Fas 123 · below its mark28/07/2025 · OR 94 parC5 @ Thistledown 14/08/2025 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 102 · 6f 117 · below its mark14/08/2025 · OR 102 par14/08C5OR 102C5 @ Thistledown 11/09/2025 · Pos 4th of 4 · OR 98 · 6f 119 · below its mark11/09/2025 · OR 98 parC6 @ Presque Isle Downs 15/10/2025 · Pos 3rd of 5 · OR 95 · 6f 123 · below its mark15/10/2025 · OR 95 par15/10C6OR 95C6 @ Presque Isle Downs 10/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR 93 · 6f 123 · beat its mark10/06/2026 · OR 93 parC7 @ Presque Isle Downs 03/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 4 · OR 91 · 6f 125 · below its mark03/07/2026 · OR 91 par3/07C7OR 91projClass-projected finish: 8th of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-03Presque Isle Downs?3rd5th−2
2026-06-10Presque Isle Downs?1st2nd−1
2025-10-15Presque Isle Downs?3rd4th−1
2025-09-11Thistledown?4th5th−1
2025-08-14Thistledown?2nd2nd0
2025-07-28Presque Isle Downs?5th6th−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today21/0528/0715/103/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 9
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength56%

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 9. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
21/05/20253rd3/184%67%-0.18
11/06/20251st11/271%100%+0.29
07/07/20254th2/189%40%-0.49
28/07/20255th5/174%56%-0.18
14/08/20252nd15/261%88%+0.27
11/09/20254th15/890%0%-0.90
15/10/20253rd9/488%50%-0.38
10/06/20261st7/163%100%+0.37
03/07/20263rd6/492%33%-0.59