3

Silent Rule
5yo Mare · 8-0 · OR 112
Thistledown · Race 5 - Best Of Ohio Honey Jay Stakes · 6f
#1
Rank
Odds
8/11
Win Prob
91%
Place Prob
68%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Class-adjusted form 1.4 /10 (raw 1.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.8
Today:
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-08-14 | Thistledown | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-05-08 | Thistledown | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-04-07 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2025-03-17 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2024-12-17 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2024-11-25 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 9
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▼
Strength81%
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 2nd of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/08/2024 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 25/11/2024 | 1st | 20/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 17/12/2024 | 1st | 4/6 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 17/03/2025 | 1st | 11/10 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |
| 07/04/2025 | 1st | 5/4 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 08/05/2025 | 1st | 4/11 | 98% | 100% | +0.02 |
| 14/08/2025 | 1st | 8/11 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |