3

Silent Rule

5yo Mare · 8-0 · OR 112

Thistledown · Race 5 - Best Of Ohio Honey Jay Stakes · 6f

#1

Rank

Odds

8/11

Win Prob

91%

Place Prob

68%

Rank

#1

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Class-adjusted form 1.4 /10 (raw 1.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.8
Today:
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Thistledown 10/08/2024 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR - · 6f Fas 11910/08C6C5 @ Mahoning Valley 25/11/2024 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 75 · 6f Fas 120 · beat its mark25/11/2024 · OR 75 par25/11C5OR 75C5 @ Mahoning Valley 17/12/2024 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 85 · 6f Fas 122 · beat its mark17/12/2024 · OR 85 par17/12C5OR 85C6 @ Mahoning Valley 17/03/2025 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 91 · 6f Slo 124 · beat its mark17/03/2025 · OR 91 par17/03C6OR 91C5 @ Mahoning Valley 07/04/2025 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR 92 · 6f Slo 126 · beat its mark07/04/2025 · OR 92 par7/04C5OR 92C5 @ Thistledown 08/05/2025 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 104 · 1m110y Fas 121 · beat its mark08/05/2025 · OR 104 par8/05C5OR 104C5 @ Thistledown 14/08/2025 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 98 · 6f 118 · beat its mark14/08/2025 · OR 98 par14/08C5OR 98projClass-projected finish: 1st of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2025-08-14Thistledown?1st1st0
2025-05-08Thistledown?1st1st0
2025-04-07Mahoning Valley?1st2nd1
2025-03-17Mahoning Valley?1st2nd1
2024-12-17Mahoning Valley?1st2nd1
2024-11-25Mahoning Valley?1st1st0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today10/0817/0314/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 9
EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend
Strength81%

What the projection says

Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 2nd of 9. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
10/08/20241st9/276%100%+0.24
25/11/20241st20/10%100%+1.00
17/12/20241st4/696%100%+0.04
17/03/20251st11/1094%100%+0.06
07/04/20251st5/493%100%+0.07
08/05/20251st4/1198%100%+0.02
14/08/20251st8/1196%100%+0.04