8
Superwolf
4yo Gelding · 8-9 · OR 93
Thistledown · Race 5 - Best Of Ohio Honey Jay Stakes · 6f
#2
Rank
Odds
6/4
Win Prob
8%
Place Prob
20%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength7%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Class-adjusted form 1.9 /10 (raw 2.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.6
Today:
Class gap: -0.1
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-24 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-10-25 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-09-17 | Thistledown | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2025-08-14 | Thistledown | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-06-21 | Thistledown | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-04-03 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 9
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 1st of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/10/2024 | 6th | 4/1 | 79% | 0% | -0.79 |
| 26/10/2024 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 18/03/2025 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 86% | -0.02 |
| 03/04/2025 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 21/06/2025 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 14/08/2025 | 6th | 11/4 | 86% | 55% | -0.31 |
| 17/09/2025 | 1st | 11/8 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 25/10/2025 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 24/11/2025 | 1st | 6/4 | 92% | 100% | +0.08 |