9
Win Herbie Win
4yo Gelding · 8-5 · OR 95
Thistledown · Race 5 - Best Of Ohio Honey Jay Stakes · 6f
#9
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 2.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.9
Today:
Class gap: -0.4
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-15 | Thistledown | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2025-11-17 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2025-10-29 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2025-10-10 | Thistledown | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2025-05-12 | Thistledown | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2024-10-26 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 9
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▼
Strength65%
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 8th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10/2024 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 26/10/2024 | 5th | 7/1 | 63% | 43% | -0.20 |
| 12/05/2025 | 4th | 2/1 | 89% | 25% | -0.64 |
| 10/10/2025 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 88% | +0.19 |
| 29/10/2025 | 1st | 15/2 | 61% | 100% | +0.39 |
| 17/11/2025 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 15/06/2026 | 5th | 3/1 | 84% | 20% | -0.64 |