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4

Cowgirl Chic

4yo Filly · 8-7 · OR 79

Thistledown · Race 6 - Allowance · 1m

#6

Rank

Odds

6/4

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#6

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▲1
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.

Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 2.3)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.2
Today:
Class gap: -1.2
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC9 @ Churchill Downs 11/06/2025 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR - · 6f110y Fas 11811/06C9C5 @ Mahoning Valley 16/02/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 85 · 6f 124 · below its mark16/02/2026 · OR 85 par16/02C5OR 85C5 @ Mahoning Valley 23/03/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 80 · 1m Slo 124 · beat its mark23/03/2026 · OR 80 par23/03C5OR 80projClass-projected finish: 4th of 6
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-03-23Mahoning Valley?3rd3rd0
2026-02-16Mahoning Valley?3rd3rd0
2025-06-11Churchill Downs?1st5th−4

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today11/0616/0223/03
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 6
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength0%

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 6th of 6. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
11/06/20251st14/126%100%+0.74
16/02/20263rd4/596%60%-0.36
23/03/20263rd6/492%60%-0.32