3
Creator Of Magic
4yo Filly · 8-7 · OR 84
Thistledown · Race 6 - Allowance · 1m
#3
Rank
Odds
1/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength6%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 3.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.2
Today:
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-03 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-03-03 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-01-03 | Turfway Park | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2025-10-21 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-08-26 | Mountaineer | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 6
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength76%
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 2nd of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/08/2025 | 1st | 13/8 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 21/10/2025 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 50% | +0.03 |
| 03/01/2026 | 11th | 40/1 | 0% | 9% | +0.09 |
| 03/03/2026 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 03/04/2026 | 2nd | 1/1 | 95% | 67% | -0.28 |