5
Dos Amores
3yo Filly · 8-3 · OR 83
Thistledown · Race 6 - Allowance · 1m
#5
Rank
Odds
9/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength18%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Class-adjusted form 2.7 /10 (raw 3.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-25 | Thistledown | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-10 | Thistledown | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-20 | Thistledown | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-04-23 | Thistledown | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-03-26 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-03-06 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 6
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength27%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/11/2025 | 3rd | 9/4 | 88% | 67% | -0.21 |
| 14/01/2026 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 71% | +0.00 |
| 16/02/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 80% | +0.04 |
| 06/03/2026 | 3rd | 5/4 | 93% | 60% | -0.33 |
| 26/03/2026 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 23/04/2026 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 20/05/2026 | 5th | 5/6 | 96% | 20% | -0.76 |
| 10/06/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 50% | -0.29 |
| 25/06/2026 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 50% | -0.03 |