Dream On Baby
6yo Gelding · 8-7 · OR 92
Thistledown · Race 7 - Claiming · 5f 110y
#1
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
61%
Place Prob
48%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 5 of 6 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 1.0 /10 (raw 4.4)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-06 | Thistledown | ? | 6th | 3rd | +3 |
| 2026-06-01 | Thistledown | ? | 3rd | 0th | +3 |
| 2026-05-12 | Thistledown | ? | 1st | -2th | +3 |
| 2026-05-02 | Thistledown | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-04-10 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2026-03-31 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 2nd | -1th | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 1st of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/01/2026 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 67% | +0.51 |
| 25/02/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 70% | +0.44 |
| 13/03/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 20% | -0.06 |
| 31/03/2026 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 83% | +0.31 |
| 10/04/2026 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 83% | +0.10 |
| 02/05/2026 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 50% | -0.32 |
| 12/05/2026 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 01/06/2026 | 3rd | 2/1 | 89% | 50% | -0.39 |
| 06/07/2026 | 6th | 7/2 | 82% | 17% | -0.65 |