6

Hey Cue

6yo Gelding · 8-7 · OR 89

Thistledown · Race 7 - Claiming · 5f 110y

#7

Rank

Odds

3/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#7

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move1
Strength56%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 1.8 /10 (raw 3.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.5
Today:
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Woodbine 04/05/2025 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 87 · 6f110y Fas 123 · below its mark04/05/2025 · OR 87 par4/05C8OR 87C8 @ Woodbine 13/06/2025 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 92 · 7f Fas 123 · beat its mark13/06/2025 · OR 92 parC7 @ Fort Erie 13/07/2025 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 87 · 6f 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark13/07/2025 · OR 87 par13/07C7OR 87C8 @ Woodbine 03/08/2025 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 86 · 7f Fas 125 · beat its mark03/08/2025 · OR 86 parC7 @ Woodbine 01/09/2025 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 87 · 7f Fas 125 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark01/09/2025 · OR 87 par1/09C7OR 87C8 @ Fort Erie 29/09/2025 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 97 · 6f110y 122 · beat its mark29/09/2025 · OR 97 parC5 @ Fort Erie 20/10/2025 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 97 · 5f110y Slo 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark20/10/2025 · OR 97 par20/10C5OR 97C5 @ Mountaineer 17/11/2025 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR 101 · 5f110y Fas 123 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark17/11/2025 · OR 101 parC8 @ Mahoning Valley 23/12/2025 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 89 · 5f110y 124 · below its mark23/12/2025 · OR 89 par23/12C8OR 89projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2025-12-23Mahoning Valley?5th5th0
2025-11-17Mountaineer?4th1st+3
2025-10-20Fort Erie?5th2nd+3
2025-09-29Fort Erie?1st1st0
2025-09-01Woodbine?2nd1st+1
2025-08-03Woodbine?1st1st0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today4/053/0820/1023/12
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 7
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength44%

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 7. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
04/05/20253rd1/297%60%-0.37
13/06/20251st11/893%100%+0.07
13/07/20255th7/282%33%-0.48
03/08/20251st10/382%100%+0.18
01/09/20252nd11/486%86%+0.00
29/09/20251st7/491%100%+0.09
20/10/20255th9/488%20%-0.68
17/11/20254th6/492%63%-0.30
23/12/20255th3/184%33%-0.51