3
Making Me Crazy
8yo Gelding · 8-7 · OR 78
Thistledown · Race 7 - Claiming · 5f 110y
#3
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
6%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength3%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 3.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-16 | Thistledown | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-01 | Thistledown | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-05 | Thistledown | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-27 | Thistledown | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-03-18 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-02-26 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 7
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/11/2025 | 2nd | 14/1 | 26% | 83% | +0.57 |
| 19/12/2025 | 3rd | 11/4 | 86% | 71% | -0.14 |
| 03/02/2026 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 63% | -0.16 |
| 26/02/2026 | 3rd | 5/2 | 87% | 50% | -0.37 |
| 18/03/2026 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 27/04/2026 | 5th | 4/1 | 79% | 20% | -0.59 |
| 05/05/2026 | 4th | 11/4 | 86% | 25% | -0.61 |
| 01/06/2026 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 25% | -0.46 |
| 16/06/2026 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 33% | -0.35 |