1
Otis Otis Otis
9yo Gelding · 8-7 · OR 69
Thistledown · Race 7 - Claiming · 5f 110y
#4
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
4%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 4.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 | Mountaineer | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-06-16 | Thistledown | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-02 | Thistledown | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-20 | Thistledown | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-12-08 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-11-03 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 7
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength31%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/09/2025 | 5th | 6/1 | 68% | 0% | -0.68 |
| 22/09/2025 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 71% | +0.45 |
| 10/10/2025 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 80% | +0.04 |
| 03/11/2025 | 6th | 15/2 | 61% | 0% | -0.61 |
| 08/12/2025 | 7th | 5/1 | 74% | 25% | -0.49 |
| 20/05/2026 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 0% | -0.47 |
| 02/06/2026 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 16/06/2026 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 67% | -0.19 |
| 30/07/2026 | 8th | 5/1 | 74% | 0% | -0.74 |