6
Bend My Ear
3yo Filly · 8-3 · OR 89
Thistledown · Race 8 - Allowance · 5f 110y
#2
Rank
Odds
11/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲3
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 5.1 /10 (raw 1.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: -3.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-01 | Turfway Park | ? | 2nd | 5th | −3 |
| 2026-01-17 | Turfway Park | ? | 1st | 5th | −4 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 6
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 6. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/01/2026 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 01/03/2026 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 91% | +0.20 |