1

Suzie Q's Sister

4yo Filly · 8-7 · OR 68

Thistledown · Race 8 - Allowance · 5f 110y

#5

Rank

Odds

5/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#5

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 3.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.7
Today:
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Mahoning Valley 02/01/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 78 · 6f Gd 121 · beat its mark02/01/2026 · OR 78 par2/01C6OR 78C6 @ Mahoning Valley 12/01/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 67 · 6f Slo 126 · beat its mark12/01/2026 · OR 67 par12/01C6OR 67C5 @ Thistledown 23/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 72 · 6f Fas 119 · below its mark23/06/2026 · OR 72 par23/06C5OR 72projClass-projected finish: 4th of 6
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-23Thistledown?6th6th0
2026-01-12Mahoning Valley?1st2nd1
2026-01-02Mahoning Valley?2nd3rd1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today2/0112/0123/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 6
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength2%

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 6. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
02/01/20262nd13/891%86%-0.06
12/01/20261st5/287%100%+0.13
23/06/20266th5/287%17%-0.70