1
Secret Caller
4yo Filly · 8-2 · OR 70
Thistledown · Race 9 - Claiming · 6f
#5
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
3%
Place Prob
9%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▼2
Strength74%
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Finished in the top 3 in 3 of 4 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.3 /10 (raw 3.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.8
Today:
Class gap: +1.7
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-28 | Thistledown | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-25 | Thistledown | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-18 | Thistledown | ? | 3rd | 0th | +3 |
| 2026-05-11 | Thistledown | ? | 3rd | 0th | +3 |
| 2026-04-29 | Thistledown | ? | 2nd | -1th | +3 |
| 2026-04-06 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 4th | 1st | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 8
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength11%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/02/2026 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 17/02/2026 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 67% | +0.40 |
| 17/03/2026 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 75% | -0.11 |
| 06/04/2026 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 40% | -0.34 |
| 29/04/2026 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 90% | +0.37 |
| 11/05/2026 | 3rd | 3/1 | 84% | 67% | -0.18 |
| 18/05/2026 | 3rd | 6/5 | 94% | 67% | -0.27 |
| 25/06/2026 | 7th | 6/5 | 94% | 0% | -0.94 |
| 28/07/2026 | 6th | 7/2 | 82% | 38% | -0.44 |