2
Nicci's Law
4yo Filly · 9-6 · OR 61
Turffontein · Tammy Dawson Maiden Plate (F & M) · 6f 211y
#5
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#5
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength5%
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.
Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 5.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-19 | Kenilworth | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-27 | Kenilworth | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-06 | Kenilworth | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-03-21 | Durbanville | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-03-04 | Durbanville | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-02-14 | Durbanville | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 7
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▲
Strength99%
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 3rd of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/10/2025 | 10th | 4/1 | 79% | 10% | -0.69 |
| 17/12/2025 | 6th | 7/1 | 63% | 50% | -0.13 |
| 17/01/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 58% | +0.58 |
| 14/02/2026 | 7th | 8/1 | 58% | 40% | -0.18 |
| 04/03/2026 | 6th | 15/2 | 61% | 38% | -0.23 |
| 21/03/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 50% | +0.13 |
| 06/04/2026 | 8th | 9/2 | 76% | 13% | -0.64 |
| 27/04/2026 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 75% | +0.59 |
| 19/05/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 86% | +0.07 |