2
King's Express
7yo Gelding · 8-3 · OR 87
Turffontein · Dianne Stenger Pinnacle Stakes · 1m 209y
#2
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
3%
Place Prob
14%
Rank
#2
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.4 /10 (raw 4.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.6
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-05 | Turffontein | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-16 | Turffontein | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-04-09 | Turffontein | ? | 1st | 1st | −0 |
| 2026-03-14 | Turffontein | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-02-12 | Turffontein | ? | 8th | 9th | −1 |
| 2026-01-24 | Vaal | ? | 10th | 9th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 7
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09/2025 | 1st | 7/4 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 16/10/2025 | 7th | 9/2 | 76% | 25% | -0.51 |
| 11/12/2025 | 9th | 10/1 | 47% | 11% | -0.36 |
| 24/01/2026 | 10th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 12/02/2026 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 14/03/2026 | 3rd | 40/1 | 0% | 71% | +0.71 |
| 09/04/2026 | 1st | 16/1 | 16% | 100% | +0.84 |
| 16/05/2026 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 45% | +0.45 |
| 05/07/2026 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 60% | -0.22 |