3

Palace Prince
4yo Colt · 7-12 · OR 93
Turffontein · Dianne Stenger Pinnacle Stakes · 1m 209y
#3
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
8%
Rank
#3
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength20%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 3.9)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.9
Today:
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-09 | Turffontein | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-20 | Greyville | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-07 | Turffontein | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-04-30 | Turffontein | ? | 9th | 10th | −1 |
| 2026-03-31 | Vaal | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-03-05 | Vaal | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 7
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/12/2025 | 4th | 10/3 | 82% | 67% | -0.16 |
| 24/01/2026 | 8th | 4/1 | 79% | 13% | -0.66 |
| 14/02/2026 | 5th | 11/2 | 71% | 50% | -0.21 |
| 05/03/2026 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 75% | +0.38 |
| 31/03/2026 | 6th | 5/1 | 74% | 50% | -0.24 |
| 30/04/2026 | 9th | 14/1 | 26% | 20% | -0.06 |
| 07/06/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 20/06/2026 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 78% | +0.07 |
| 09/07/2026 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |