3

Palace Prince

4yo Colt · 7-12 · OR 93

Turffontein · Dianne Stenger Pinnacle Stakes · 1m 209y

#3

Rank

Odds

3/1

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

8%

Rank

#3

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

4/1 and tongue strap on for 1st time, improved on recent efforts to win 9-runner minor event at this course (8f, good) 30 days ago.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readPROGRESSIVE
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength20%

What the class read says

Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own.

Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 3.9)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.9
Today:
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Vaal 20/12/2025 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR - · 7f73y Gd 13120/12C?C5 @ Vaal 24/01/2026 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR - · 6f211y Gd 128C5 @ Turffontein 14/02/2026 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR - · 5f169y GS 13114/02C5C5 @ Vaal 05/03/2026 · Pos 2nd of 5 · OR - · 5f212y Gd 138C5 @ Vaal 31/03/2026 · Pos 6th of 11 · OR - · 7f101y Gd 13231/03C5C5 @ Turffontein 30/04/2026 · Pos 9th of 11 · OR - · 5f169y Gd 136C0 @ Turffontein 07/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 11 · OR - · 7f210y Gd 1327/06C?C0 @ Greyville 20/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR - · 7f210y GS 129C5 @ Turffontein 09/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR - · 7f210y Gd 1289/07C5projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 7
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-09Turffontein?1st1st0
2026-06-20Greyville?3rd3rd0
2026-06-07Turffontein?6th6th0
2026-04-30Turffontein?9th10th1
2026-03-31Vaal?6th6th0
2026-03-05Vaal?2nd3rd1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today20/125/037/069/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 7
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 7. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
20/12/20254th10/382%67%-0.16
24/01/20268th4/179%13%-0.66
14/02/20265th11/271%50%-0.21
05/03/20262nd12/137%75%+0.38
31/03/20266th5/174%50%-0.24
30/04/20269th14/126%20%-0.06
07/06/20266th20/10%50%+0.50
20/06/20263rd11/271%78%+0.07
09/07/20261st3/184%100%+0.16