The Equator
5yo Horse · 9-6 · OR 107
Turffontein · Dianne Stenger Pinnacle Stakes · 1m 209y
#1
Rank
Odds
5/6
Win Prob
96%
Place Prob
77%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 1.5 /10 (raw 4.1)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-05 | Turffontein | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-07 | Turffontein | ? | 5th | 0th | +4 |
| 2026-04-04 | Turffontein | ? | 5th | 0th | +4 |
| 2026-01-31 | Kenilworth | ? | 11th | 6th | +4 |
| 2026-01-10 | Kenilworth | ? | 4th | -1th | +4 |
| 2025-12-27 | Turffontein | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 7.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08/2025 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 26/10/2025 | 1st | 10/11 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |
| 29/11/2025 | 5th | 3/1 | 84% | 79% | -0.05 |
| 27/12/2025 | 2nd | 5/6 | 96% | 75% | -0.21 |
| 10/01/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 67% | +0.30 |
| 31/01/2026 | 11th | 66/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 04/04/2026 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 07/06/2026 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 60% | +0.02 |
| 05/07/2026 | 1st | 5/6 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |