3
Mattiazo
6yo Mare · 9-3 · OR 41
Turffontein · Robyn Klaasen Fm 70 Divided Handicap (F & M) · 7f 210y
#5
Rank
Odds
18/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength20%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Dropping 0 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 8.8 /10 (raw 5.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.0
Today:
Class gap: -0.1
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-11 | Turffontein | ? | 12th | 12th | −0 |
| 2026-05-07 | Turffontein | ? | 10th | 10th | −0 |
| 2026-03-19 | Turffontein | ? | 4th | 4th | −0 |
| 2026-02-26 | Turffontein | ? | 10th | 10th | −0 |
| 2026-02-21 | Turffontein | ? | 3rd | 3rd | +0 |
| 2026-01-24 | Vaal | ? | 13th | 13th | −0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 8
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/10/2025 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 43% | +0.17 |
| 13/11/2025 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 56% | +0.03 |
| 30/12/2025 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 24/01/2026 | 13th | 3/1 | 84% | 0% | -0.84 |
| 21/02/2026 | 3rd | 13/2 | 66% | 78% | +0.12 |
| 26/02/2026 | 10th | 12/1 | 37% | 18% | -0.19 |
| 19/03/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 67% | +0.19 |
| 07/05/2026 | 10th | 6/1 | 68% | 0% | -0.68 |
| 11/06/2026 | 12th | 18/1 | 5% | 15% | +0.10 |