2

Pretty Analia

7yo Mare · 9-5 · OR 52

Turffontein · Robyn Klaasen Fm 70 Divided Handicap (F & M) · 7f 210y

#4

Rank

Odds

16/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#4

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

C&D winner. Latest win at Vaal in June. Bit below form seventh of 13 in handicap (25/1) at Vaal (7.2f, good) 9 days ago. Not easy to make a case for.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength46%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 5 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 6.6 /10 (raw 5.1)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.5
Today:
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC7 @ Vaal 28/03/2026 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR - · 1m110y GS 120 · HIGHER CLASS28/03C7C6 @ Turffontein 23/04/2026 · Pos 5th of 13 · OR - · 7f210y GS 115 · HIGHER CLASSC7 @ Turffontein 07/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR - · 7f210y GS 1277/05C7C7 @ Vaal 21/05/2026 · Pos 14th of 16 · OR - · 6f211y Gd 130C6 @ Turffontein 04/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 14 · OR - · 7f46y Gd 117 · HIGHER CLASS4/06C6C6 @ Vaal 18/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR - · 1m99y Gd 117 · HIGHER CLASSC6 @ Turffontein 09/07/2026 · Pos 10th of 12 · OR - · 1m209y Gd 118 · HIGHER CLASS9/07C6C7 @ Turffontein 16/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR - · 7f210y Gd 127 · HIGHER CLASSC7 @ Vaal 30/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 13 · OR - · 7f46y Gd 128 · HIGHER CLASS30/07C7projClass-projected finish: 4th of 8
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-30Vaal?7th7th+0
2026-07-16Turffontein?3rd3rd+0
2026-07-09Turffontein?10th9th+1
2026-06-18Vaal?1st0th+0
2026-06-04Turffontein?7th6th+0
2026-05-21Vaal?14th14th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today28/0321/059/0730/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 8
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength70%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 8. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
28/03/20268th50/10%22%+0.22
23/04/20265th8/158%67%+0.09
07/05/20261st9/153%100%+0.47
21/05/202614th9/153%13%-0.39
04/06/20267th18/15%54%+0.49
18/06/20261st12/137%100%+0.63
09/07/202610th18/15%18%+0.13
16/07/20263rd20/10%78%+0.78
30/07/20267th16/116%50%+0.34