2
Texas Missile
4yo Gelding · 9-4 · OR 59
Turffontein · Avory Shlain Wishes The Ladies Happy Women's Day Mr 95 Handicap · 7f 210y
#7
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼1
Strength75%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 3 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 5 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.9 /10 (raw 3.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.0
Today:
Class gap: +1.3
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-07 | Turffontein | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-04-04 | Turffontein | ? | 7th | 1st | +5 |
| 2026-03-14 | Turffontein | ? | 2nd | -3th | +5 |
| 2026-01-27 | Vaal | ? | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2025-12-30 | Turffontein | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2025-10-28 | Vaal | ? | 1st | 4th | −3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 8
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength23%
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 7th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/09/2025 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 50% | +0.34 |
| 11/10/2025 | 2nd | 15/2 | 61% | 90% | +0.29 |
| 28/10/2025 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 30/12/2025 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 27/01/2026 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 86% | +0.03 |
| 14/03/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 92% | +0.13 |
| 04/04/2026 | 7th | 8/1 | 58% | 50% | -0.08 |
| 07/06/2026 | 9th | 10/1 | 47% | 20% | -0.27 |