6
Sail The Sky
6yo Gelding · 9-0 · OR 29
Turffontein · Next Turffontein Racemeeting Sunday 16 August Mr 66 Handicap · 6f 211y
#6
Rank
Odds
50/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength52%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 4 of 6 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 9.2 /10 (raw 6.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.8
Today:
Class gap: +0.4
Higher-class runs: 6
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-12 | Turffontein | ? | 9th | 9th | +0 |
| 2026-02-19 | Turffontein | ? | 12th | 11th | +1 |
| 2026-02-01 | Turffontein | ? | 9th | 9th | +0 |
| 2026-01-27 | Vaal | ? | 8th | 8th | +0 |
| 2026-01-08 | Vaal | ? | 12th | 11th | +1 |
| 2025-11-23 | Turffontein | ? | 8th | 7th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 8
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength22%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/08/2025 | 7th | 4/1 | 79% | 25% | -0.54 |
| 30/08/2025 | 8th | 18/1 | 5% | 13% | +0.07 |
| 28/10/2025 | 10th | 25/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 23/11/2025 | 8th | 28/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 08/01/2026 | 12th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 27/01/2026 | 8th | 22/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |
| 01/02/2026 | 9th | 22/1 | 0% | 11% | +0.11 |
| 19/02/2026 | 12th | 50/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 12/04/2026 | 9th | 50/1 | 0% | 11% | +0.11 |