Casheldale Lass
4yo Filly · 11-2
Wexford · Wexford Fillies Maiden Hurdle · 2m 190y
#9
Rank
Odds
9/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 4 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 7.1 /10 (raw 8.8)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-12 | Sligo | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-06-24 | Naas | BHA63 | 12th | 10th | +2 |
| 2026-05-28 | Fairyhouse | BHA64 | 8th | 6th | +2 |
| 2026-05-15 | Leopardstown | BHA61 | 2nd | 0th | +2 |
| 2026-04-25 | Navan | BHA62 | 16th | 14th | +2 |
| 2025-10-06 | Killarney | BHA63 | 7th | 5th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 10th of 11. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/06/2025 | 1st | 28/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 05/07/2025 | 1st | 11/2 | 71% | 100% | +0.29 |
| 22/09/2025 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 58% | +0.21 |
| 06/10/2025 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 40% | +0.14 |
| 25/04/2026 | 16th | 14/1 | 26% | 32% | +0.05 |
| 15/05/2026 | 2nd | 15/2 | 61% | 90% | +0.29 |
| 28/05/2026 | 8th | 11/4 | 86% | 53% | -0.32 |
| 24/06/2026 | 12th | 6/1 | 68% | 21% | -0.47 |
| 12/07/2026 | 8th | 9/1 | 53% | 30% | -0.23 |