9
Shakita
4yo Filly · 10-8 · OR 89
Wexford · Wexford Fillies Maiden Hurdle · 2m 190y
#7
Rank
Odds
40/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▼2
Strength72%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 8.9 /10 (raw 10.2)
Highest class: BHA40
Recent avg: C6.1
Today:
Class gap: +1.9
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-07 | Tramore | BHA40 | 7th | 2nd | +4 |
| 2026-06-18 | Leopardstown | BHA43 | 11th | 7th | +4 |
| 2026-06-05 | Clonmel | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-05-15 | Leopardstown | BHA44 | 17th | 13th | +4 |
| 2025-12-13 | Fairyhouse | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2025-11-22 | Punchestown | ? | 13th | 13th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 11
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength30%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 11.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/08/2025 | 9th | 100/1 | 0% | 11% | +0.11 |
| 11/09/2025 | 8th | 150/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |
| 09/10/2025 | 8th | 50/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 04/11/2025 | 8th | 66/1 | 0% | 46% | +0.46 |
| 22/11/2025 | 13th | 200/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 13/12/2025 | 10th | 200/1 | 0% | 18% | +0.18 |
| 15/05/2026 | 17th | 50/1 | 0% | 11% | +0.11 |
| 18/06/2026 | 11th | 80/1 | 0% | 23% | +0.23 |
| 07/07/2026 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 45% | +0.45 |