2

Camino Rock

9yo Gelding · 11-11 · OR 104

Wexford · Shamrock Farm Enterprises Handicap Hurdle · 2m 4f 50y

#6

Rank

Odds

125/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#6

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Fairly useful hurdler who was badly out of sorts last season and looked rusty when well held at Galway on return from 6-month break 10 days ago. Has dropped below last winning mark but a big leap of faith required to see him suddenly bouncing back.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 11.7 /10 (raw 6.7)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C10.8
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA113 @ Listowel 25/09/2024 · Pos 7th of 13 · OR 113 · 3m Sft 153 · below its mark25/09/2024 · OR 113 par25/09113OR 113BHA113 @ Punchestown 23/11/2024 · Pos 6th of 19 · OR 113 · 2m3f87y Sft 159 · below its mark23/11/2024 · OR 113 parBHA113 @ Gowran Park 15/02/2025 · Pos 3rd of 20 · OR 113 · 2m3f180y Sft 159 · below its mark15/02/2025 · OR 113 par15/02113OR 113C8 @ Wexford 04/04/2025 · Pos 9th of 11 · OR 114 · 3m110y Yie 162 · below its mark04/04/2025 · OR 114 parBHA114 @ Punchestown 29/04/2025 · Pos 20th of 25 · OR 114 · 2m3f93y Yie 150 · below its mark29/04/2025 · OR 114 par29/04114OR 114C0 @ Kilbeggan 05/09/2025 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR - · 2m4f95y Yie 166BHA113 @ Cork 02/11/2025 · Pos 9th of 11 · OR 113 · 2m Yie 162 · below its mark02/11/2025 · OR 113 par2/11113OR 113C0 @ Gowran Park 08/11/2025 · Pos 9th of 17 · OR - · 2m4f Hvy 166BHA108 @ Galway 29/07/2026 · Pos 17th of 19 · OR 108 · 2m6f Gd 164 · below its mark29/07/2026 · OR 108 par29/07108OR 108projClass-projected finish: 7th of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-29GalwayBHA10817th17th0
2026-01-22Gowran ParkBHA1080
2025-12-14NavanBHA1100
2025-12-02ClonmelBHA1030
2025-11-08Gowran Park?9th9th0
2025-11-02CorkBHA1139th9th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today25/094/042/1129/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 7
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength12%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 7. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
25/09/20247th16/116%50%+0.34
23/11/20246th28/10%72%+0.72
15/02/20253rd16/116%89%+0.74
04/04/20259th25/10%20%+0.20
29/04/202520th50/10%21%+0.21
05/09/20257th33/10%14%+0.14
02/11/20259th40/10%20%+0.20
08/11/20259th33/10%50%+0.50
29/07/202617th125/10%11%+0.11