4
Harpy Eagle
5yo Gelding · 11-7 · OR 100
Wexford · Shamrock Farm Enterprises Handicap Hurdle · 2m 4f 50y
#5
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 6.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C9.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-23 | Wexford | BHA102 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-02 | Limerick | BHA103 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-03-02 | Leopardstown | ? | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-02-04 | Punchestown | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-01-09 | Naas | BHA105 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-10-07 | Galway | BHA103 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 7
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength30%
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 5th of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/08/2025 | 3rd | 33/1 | 0% | 80% | +0.80 |
| 29/08/2025 | 2nd | 2/1 | 89% | 92% | +0.02 |
| 20/09/2025 | 9th | 12/1 | 37% | 47% | +0.10 |
| 07/10/2025 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 90% | +0.19 |
| 09/01/2026 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 60% | +0.07 |
| 04/02/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 50% | +0.24 |
| 02/03/2026 | 12th | 10/1 | 47% | 35% | -0.12 |
| 02/07/2026 | 6th | 11/2 | 71% | 50% | -0.21 |
| 23/07/2026 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 62% | +0.14 |