7

Isdistheone

6yo Mare · 10-7 · OR 86

Wexford · Shamrock Farm Enterprises Handicap Hurdle · 2m 4f 50y

#7

Rank

Odds

66/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#7

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Has yet to better poor form in 3 starts over hurdles. Makes handicap debut for new yard with first-time tongue strap applied.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 6.7 /10 (raw 6.2)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Listowel 26/09/2025 · Pos 11th of 16 · OR - · 2m Goo 16526/09C?C0 @ Clonmel 06/11/2025 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR - · 2m157y Sft 161C0 @ Tramore 25/11/2025 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR - · 2m50y Sft 16525/11C?C0 @ Leopardstown 27/12/2025 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR - · 2m4f25y Yie 161C8 @ Fairyhouse 15/01/2026 · Pos 6th of 12 · OR - · 2m4f Sft 16115/01C8C0 @ Cork 19/03/2026 · Pos 7th of 13 · OR - · 2m Yie 165C8 @ Clonmel 26/03/2026 · Pos 5th of 12 · OR - · 2m2f188y Sft 15326/03C8C0 @ Clonmel 14/04/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR - · 2m3f185y Yie 165C8 @ Cork 10/05/2026 · Pos 10th of 15 · OR - · 2m3f50y Goo 16110/05C8projClass-projected finish: 6th of 7
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-05-10Cork?10th10th0
2026-04-14Clonmel?6th6th0
2026-03-26Clonmel?5th5th0
2026-03-19Cork?7th7th0
2026-01-15Fairyhouse?6th6th0
2025-12-27Leopardstown?6th6th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today26/0927/1226/0310/05
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 7
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength14%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 7. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
26/09/202511th66/10%33%+0.33
06/11/20253rd14/126%78%+0.51
25/11/20254th22/10%40%+0.40
27/12/20256th33/10%38%+0.38
15/01/20266th66/10%55%+0.55
19/03/20267th16/116%50%+0.34
26/03/20265th10/147%64%+0.16
14/04/20266th12/137%29%-0.08
10/05/202610th66/10%36%+0.36