IvyArcIvyArc
1

It's Bobsled Time

4yo Gelding · 11-12 · OR 109

Wexford · Shamrock Farm Enterprises Handicap Hurdle · 2m 4f 50y

#4

Rank

Odds

9/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#4

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Lightly-raced 4-y-o who caused a massive shock in an academy hurdle (250/1) at Naas for Richard Morrissey in 2025/26. Makes handicap debut starting out for new connections after 6 months off.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 8.0 /10 (raw 8.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Cork 12/10/2025 · Pos 12th of 15 · OR - · 2m1f70y Goo 15412/10C?C0 @ Cork 23/11/2025 · Pos 9th of 12 · OR - · 2m1f75y Yie 15423/11C?C0 @ Naas 15/12/2025 · Pos 1st of 14 · OR - · 2m1f40y Sft 15415/12C?C8 @ Naas 07/02/2026 · Pos 10th of 12 · OR - · 2m2f101y Sft 1547/02C8projClass-projected finish: 5th of 7
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-02-07Naas?10th10th0
2026-01-14Fairyhouse?0
2025-12-15Naas?1st1st0
2025-11-23Cork?9th9th0
2025-10-12Cork?12th12th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today12/1023/1115/127/02
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 7
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength57%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 7. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
12/10/202512th150/10%21%+0.21
23/11/20259th250/10%27%+0.27
15/12/20251st250/10%100%+1.00
07/02/202610th9/153%18%-0.34