2
Jackson Lamb
7yo Gelding · 11-12 · OR 112
Wexford · Wexford Racecourse Park Run Beginners Chase · 2m 3f 20y
#4
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#4
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 4.8)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C4.3
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-22 | Wexford | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-03 | Wexford | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-31 | Kilbeggan | ? | 0 | ||
| 2025-10-24 | Cheltenham | 1 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2025-09-17 | Kelso | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-08-27 | Bellewstown | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 6
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength49%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 6. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/07/2024 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 86% | -0.02 |
| 09/08/2024 | 8th | 5/2 | 87% | 46% | -0.41 |
| 05/07/2025 | 4th | 11/4 | 86% | 77% | -0.09 |
| 14/07/2025 | 3rd | 2/1 | 89% | 67% | -0.23 |
| 27/08/2025 | 1st | 1/1 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |
| 17/09/2025 | 1st | 8/15 | 97% | 100% | +0.03 |
| 24/10/2025 | 10th | 33/1 | 0% | 18% | +0.18 |
| 03/07/2026 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 22/07/2026 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |