5
West Away
8yo Gelding · 11-12 · OR 114
Wexford · Wexford Racecourse Park Run Beginners Chase · 2m 3f 20y
#5
Rank
Odds
7/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength5%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 5.6 /10 (raw 6.1)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C10.2
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-22 | Wexford | BHA118 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-12-26 | Down Royal | BHA121 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-11-29 | Fairyhouse | BHA118 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-11-08 | Gowran Park | BHA123 | 0 | ||
| 2025-10-25 | Cheltenham | 3 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2025-08-06 | Wexford | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 6
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength89%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 6. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/03/2025 | 12th | 22/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |
| 10/04/2025 | 4th | 16/5 | 83% | 57% | -0.26 |
| 20/04/2025 | 14th | 14/1 | 26% | 7% | -0.19 |
| 16/06/2025 | 4th | 15/2 | 61% | 63% | +0.02 |
| 06/08/2025 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 89% | +0.20 |
| 25/10/2025 | 10th | 25/1 | 0% | 31% | +0.31 |
| 29/11/2025 | 7th | 18/1 | 5% | 68% | +0.63 |
| 26/12/2025 | 6th | 13/2 | 66% | 55% | -0.11 |
| 22/07/2026 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 75% | +0.12 |