6
William Tell
7yo Gelding · 11-12 · OR 122
Wexford · Wexford Racecourse Park Run Beginners Chase · 2m 3f 20y
#2
Rank
Odds
28/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
4%
Rank
#2
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 4.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C10.4
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-28 | Galway | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-22 | Wexford | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-06-30 | Wexford | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-07 | Punchestown | BHA118 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-11 | Killarney | BHA120 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2025-12-20 | Thurles | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 6
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength6%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07/2025 | 2nd | 28/1 | 0% | 94% | +0.94 |
| 04/08/2025 | 1st | 4/5 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 20/11/2025 | 1st | 15/2 | 61% | 100% | +0.39 |
| 20/12/2025 | 6th | 4/1 | 79% | 38% | -0.41 |
| 11/05/2026 | 9th | 14/1 | 26% | 27% | +0.01 |
| 07/06/2026 | 7th | 5/1 | 74% | 50% | -0.24 |
| 30/06/2026 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 80% | +0.33 |
| 28/07/2026 | 5th | 28/1 | 0% | 56% | +0.56 |