5

Centreofattention

7yo Gelding · 11-4 · OR 102

Wexford · Wexfordraces.ie Handicap Chase · 2m 3f 20y

#6

Rank

Odds

50/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#6

Timeform

Commentary

Bumper winner who could only show modest form in a handful of outings over hurdles and has made a dismal start to his chasing career, tailed off a long way out prior to being left a hollow second behind Sky Lord in a maiden at this course 17 days ago. Wears first-time cheekpieces.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 7.0 /10 (raw 6.0)

Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C8.8
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Wincanton 12/01/2024 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR - · 1m7f50y GS 15612/015C0 @ Punchestown 30/04/2025 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR - · 2m3f58y Yie 16030/04C?C8 @ Galway 25/10/2025 · Pos 6th of 15 · OR - · 2m90y Yie 16625/10C8C8 @ Navan 06/12/2025 · Pos 11th of 26 · OR - · 2m Sft 1666/12C8BHA103 @ Kilbeggan 15/05/2026 · Pos 8th of 14 · OR 103 · 1m7f153y Goo 159 · below its mark15/05/2026 · OR 103 par15/05103OR 103C0 @ Wexford 22/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR - · 1m7f110y Gd 16622/07C?projClass-projected finish: 4th of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-22Wexford?2nd2nd0
2026-07-10Kilbeggan?0
2026-05-15KilbegganBHA1038th8th0
2025-12-06Navan?11th11th0
2025-10-25Galway?6th6th0
2025-04-30Punchestown?8th8th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today12/0130/0425/106/1215/0522/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 9
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength76%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 9. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
12/01/20241st11/893%100%+0.07
30/04/20258th25/10%22%+0.22
25/10/20256th14/126%64%+0.38
06/12/202511th80/10%60%+0.60
15/05/20268th14/126%46%+0.20
22/07/20262nd50/10%80%+0.80