6
Oneforgonzo
8yo Gelding · 11-3 · OR 101
Wexford · Wexfordraces.ie Handicap Chase · 2m 3f 20y
#8
Rank
Odds
50/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 5.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C10.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 | Galway | BHA110 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-05-21 | Limerick | BHA101 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-11 | Killarney | BHA94 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-02-19 | Thurles | BHA94 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-01-20 | Down Royal | BHA96 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-01-01 | Fairyhouse | BHA106 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 9
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 9th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11/2025 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 69% | +0.69 |
| 07/12/2025 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 83% | +0.30 |
| 27/12/2025 | 8th | 17/2 | 55% | 30% | -0.25 |
| 01/01/2026 | 2nd | 18/1 | 5% | 96% | +0.90 |
| 20/01/2026 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 60% | -0.16 |
| 19/02/2026 | 4th | 3/1 | 84% | 80% | -0.04 |
| 11/05/2026 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 21/05/2026 | 5th | 3/1 | 84% | 64% | -0.21 |
| 29/07/2026 | 11th | 50/1 | 0% | 44% | +0.44 |