4
Tequila Talkin'
7yo Mare · 11-5 · OR 103
Wexford · Wexfordraces.ie Handicap Chase · 2m 3f 20y
#2
Rank
Odds
5/2
Win Prob
76%
Place Prob
59%
Rank
#2
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength4%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 4.3)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C8.3
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-22 | Wexford | BHA103 | 0 | ||
| 2026-06-30 | Wexford | BHA103 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-07 | Wexford | BHA101 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-10 | Wexford | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-03-03 | Leopardstown | BHA104 | 0 | ||
| 2026-02-01 | Leopardstown | 1 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 9
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength87%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/06/2025 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 88% | +0.51 |
| 24/07/2025 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 11/10/2025 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 64% | +0.16 |
| 29/12/2025 | 8th | 28/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 01/02/2026 | 8th | 28/1 | 0% | 59% | +0.59 |
| 10/04/2026 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 63% | -0.16 |
| 07/05/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 91% | +0.15 |
| 30/06/2026 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 83% | +0.07 |