4
Rue Taylor
6yo Mare · 11-2 · OR 112
Wexford · Poolcourt Engineering Handicap Chase · 3m 1f
#3
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#3
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 7.8 /10 (raw 5.5)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C11.3
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-30 | Wexford | BHA105 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-21 | Limerick | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-04-24 | Kilbeggan | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-12-28 | Leopardstown | BHA114 | 14th | 14th | 0 |
| 2025-11-16 | Navan | BHA115 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-10-25 | Galway | BHA116 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 7
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength41%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/12/2024 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 75% | +0.38 |
| 20/02/2025 | 4th | 7/1 | 63% | 63% | -0.01 |
| 04/04/2025 | 1st | 10/1 | 47% | 100% | +0.53 |
| 25/10/2025 | 12th | 12/1 | 37% | 21% | -0.15 |
| 16/11/2025 | 7th | 22/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 28/12/2025 | 14th | 25/1 | 0% | 24% | +0.24 |
| 24/04/2026 | 8th | 16/1 | 16% | 36% | +0.21 |
| 21/05/2026 | 5th | 7/2 | 82% | 0% | -0.82 |
| 30/06/2026 | 1st | 12/1 | 37% | 100% | +0.63 |