4

Lady Doyanne

6yo Mare · 11-4 · OR 106

Wexford · BOYLE Sports Handicap Chase · 1m 7f 120y

#2

Rank

Odds

3/1

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

10%

Rank

#2

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Followed up point success when a well-backed winner on hurdle debut here last season. Has drawn a blank since but placed both starts switched to fences this summer (2¼ lengths second to Ballybrittas here latterly) and her leading stable has tasted recent success in this race.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 5.7 /10 (raw 5.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C10.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Wexford 08/08/2025 · Pos 1st of 14 · OR - · 2m180y Goo 1518/08C8BHA107 @ Navan 20/09/2025 · Pos 15th of 16 · OR 107 · 1m7f165y Yie 153 · below its mark20/09/2025 · OR 107 par20/09107OR 107BHA106 @ Punchestown 15/10/2025 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 106 · 2m95y Goo 157 · below its mark15/10/2025 · OR 106 par15/10106OR 106BHA105 @ Kilbeggan 24/04/2026 · Pos 6th of 14 · OR 105 · 2m110y Goo 161 · below its mark24/04/2026 · OR 105 par24/04105OR 105BHA105 @ Clonmel 14/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR 105 · 2m159y Goo 151 · below its mark14/05/2026 · OR 105 par14/05105OR 105BHA104 @ Tramore 29/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 11 · OR 104 · 1m7f110y Goo 154 · below its mark29/05/2026 · OR 104 par29/05104OR 104BHA104 @ Wexford 22/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 104 · 1m7f110y Gd 153 · below its mark22/07/2026 · OR 104 par22/07104OR 104projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 6
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-22WexfordBHA1042nd2nd0
2026-05-29TramoreBHA1043rd3rd0
2026-05-14ClonmelBHA1054th4th0
2026-04-24KilbegganBHA1056th6th0
2025-10-15PunchestownBHA1064th4th0
2025-09-20NavanBHA10715th15th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today8/0824/0422/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 6
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 6.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
08/08/20251st6/492%100%+0.08
20/09/202515th16/116%7%-0.09
15/10/20254th15/261%57%-0.03
24/04/20266th10/147%62%+0.14
14/05/20264th18/15%70%+0.65
29/05/20263rd10/382%80%-0.02
22/07/20262nd3/184%83%-0.01