3
Ned In The Park
7yo Gelding · 11-7 · OR 109
Wexford · BOYLE Sports Handicap Chase · 1m 7f 120y
#4
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#4
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength6%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 4.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C10.3
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-28 | Galway | BHA109 | 0 | ||
| 2026-06-30 | Wexford | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-05 | Clonmel | BHA109 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-26 | Ballinrobe | BHA110 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-05-14 | Clonmel | BHA110 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-14 | Clonmel | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 6
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength45%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 6. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/07/2025 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 20% | +0.04 |
| 05/08/2025 | 5th | 3/1 | 84% | 71% | -0.13 |
| 20/09/2025 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 60% | +0.44 |
| 03/10/2025 | 4th | 7/1 | 63% | 75% | +0.12 |
| 14/04/2026 | 1st | 8/1 | 58% | 100% | +0.42 |
| 14/05/2026 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 67% | -0.10 |
| 26/05/2026 | 9th | 8/1 | 58% | 43% | -0.15 |
| 05/06/2026 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 87% | +0.50 |
| 30/06/2026 | 2nd | 14/1 | 26% | 92% | +0.66 |