7

Rightfolksplease

8yo Gelding · 10-8 · OR 96

Wexford · BOYLE Sports Handicap Chase · 1m 7f 120y

#6

Rank

Odds

9/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#6

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

9/2 and tongue strap on first time, went close to making a winning start for a new yard after an absence when second of 12 in handicap hurdle at this course (17f, good) 16 days ago. Placed off higher marks over fences earlier in career. Leading claims.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength13%

What the class read says

Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 6.1)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C8.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA85 @ Wexford 18/05/2024 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR 85 · 2m1f55y Sft 158 · below its mark18/05/2024 · OR 85 par18/0585OR 85BHA88 @ Roscommon 10/06/2024 · Pos 2nd of 15 · OR 88 · 1m7f142y Goo 161 · below its mark10/06/2024 · OR 88 parBHA89 @ Downpatrick 16/06/2024 · Pos 1st of 14 · OR 89 · 2m1f165y Gd 164 · beat its mark16/06/2024 · OR 89 par16/0689OR 89BHA98 @ Downpatrick 15/07/2024 · Pos 7th of 14 · OR 98 · 2m1f165y Gd 166 · below its mark15/07/2024 · OR 98 parC8 @ Sligo 02/10/2024 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 98 · 2m1f120y Gd 150 · below its mark02/10/2024 · OR 98 par2/10C8OR 98BHA98 @ Navan 17/11/2024 · Pos 6th of 23 · OR 98 · 2m Yie 164 · below its mark17/11/2024 · OR 98 parBHA101 @ Naas 16/12/2024 · Pos 3rd of 18 · OR 101 · 2m Yie 167 · below its mark16/12/2024 · OR 101 par16/12101OR 1014 @ Musselburgh 01/02/2025 · Pos 11th of 15 · OR 103 · 1m7f124y GS 160 · below its mark01/02/2025 · OR 103 parBHA96 @ Wexford 23/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 12 · OR 96 · 2m150y Gd 164 · below its mark23/07/2026 · OR 96 par23/0796OR 96projClass-projected finish: 4th of 6
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-23WexfordBHA962nd2nd0
2025-02-01Musselburgh411th11th0
2025-01-21Down RoyalBHA1000
2024-12-16NaasBHA1013rd3rd0
2024-11-17NavanBHA986th6th0
2024-10-02Sligo?2nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today18/0515/0716/1223/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 6
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength93%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 6.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
18/05/20242nd11/271%90%+0.19
10/06/20242nd3/184%93%+0.09
16/06/20241st2/189%100%+0.11
15/07/20247th10/382%54%-0.29
02/10/20242nd7/282%86%+0.04
17/11/20246th9/276%77%+0.01
16/12/20243rd15/261%88%+0.28
01/02/202511th18/15%29%+0.23
23/07/20262nd9/276%91%+0.15