1

Solsbury Hill
7yo Gelding · 11-12 · OR 114
Wexford · BOYLE Sports Handicap Chase · 1m 7f 120y
#5
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 6.4 /10 (raw 5.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C10.1
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-30 | Wexford | BHA114 | 0 | ||
| 2025-12-26 | Leopardstown | BHA120 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2025-10-31 | Down Royal | BHA122 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2025-09-21 | Listowel | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-08-05 | Roscommon | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-06-07 | Punchestown | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 6
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength44%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 6.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/12/2024 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 79% | +0.02 |
| 02/03/2025 | 1st | 12/1 | 37% | 100% | +0.63 |
| 17/03/2025 | 3rd | 13/2 | 66% | 85% | +0.19 |
| 01/05/2025 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 81% | +0.28 |
| 07/06/2025 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 25% | -0.12 |
| 05/08/2025 | 1st | 14/1 | 26% | 100% | +0.74 |
| 21/09/2025 | 7th | 17/2 | 55% | 14% | -0.41 |
| 31/10/2025 | 9th | 16/1 | 16% | 27% | +0.11 |
| 26/12/2025 | 11th | 25/1 | 0% | 47% | +0.47 |