1

Solsbury Hill

7yo Gelding · 11-12 · OR 114

Wexford · BOYLE Sports Handicap Chase · 1m 7f 120y

#5

Rank

Odds

14/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#5

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Won maiden chase at Roscommon last summer but has failed to progress in handicaps since. Unseated at the first back from 6 months off here in June so this is effectively his reappearance but his yard's good form provides hope.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 6.4 /10 (raw 5.3)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C10.1
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Limerick 29/12/2024 · Pos 4th of 15 · OR - · 2m3f Yie 16629/12C8C8 @ Leopardstown 02/03/2025 · Pos 1st of 18 · OR 100 · 2m Yie 166 · beat its mark02/03/2025 · OR 100 parC8 @ Wexford 17/03/2025 · Pos 3rd of 14 · OR 109 · 2m Goo 165 · below its mark17/03/2025 · OR 109 par17/03C8OR 109BHA110 @ Punchestown 01/05/2025 · Pos 5th of 22 · OR 110 · 2m94y Yie 157 · below its mark01/05/2025 · OR 110 parC8 @ Punchestown 07/06/2025 · Pos 4th of 5 · OR 110 · 2m100y Goo 166 · below its mark07/06/2025 · OR 110 par7/06C8OR 110C0 @ Roscommon 05/08/2025 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR - · 2m142y Yie 166C8 @ Listowel 21/09/2025 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR - · 2m1f150y Yie 16121/09C8BHA122 @ Down Royal 31/10/2025 · Pos 9th of 12 · OR 122 · 2m100y Goo 168 · below its mark31/10/2025 · OR 122 parBHA120 @ Leopardstown 26/12/2025 · Pos 11th of 20 · OR 120 · 2m1f Yie 149 · below its mark26/12/2025 · OR 120 par26/12120OR 120projClass-projected finish: 6th of 6
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-30WexfordBHA1140
2025-12-26LeopardstownBHA12011th11th0
2025-10-31Down RoyalBHA1229th9th0
2025-09-21Listowel?7th7th0
2025-08-05Roscommon?1st1st0
2025-06-07Punchestown?4th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today29/121/0521/0926/12
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 6
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength44%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 6.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
29/12/20244th9/276%79%+0.02
02/03/20251st12/137%100%+0.63
17/03/20253rd13/266%85%+0.19
01/05/20255th9/153%81%+0.28
07/06/20254th12/137%25%-0.12
05/08/20251st14/126%100%+0.74
21/09/20257th17/255%14%-0.41
31/10/20259th16/116%27%+0.11
26/12/202511th25/10%47%+0.47