4
English Actor
5yo Gelding · 8-9 · OR 106
Woodbine · Race 10 - Niagara Stakes · 1m 3f
#7
Rank
Odds
11/10
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 3.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.6
Today:
Class gap: -0.1
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-12 | Woodbine | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-06-13 | Woodbine | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-05-23 | Woodbine | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2025-11-21 | Woodbine | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2025-10-26 | Woodbine | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2025-10-04 | Woodbine | ? | 7th | 2nd | +4 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 12
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength59%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 8th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/07/2025 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 78% | +0.07 |
| 03/08/2025 | 5th | 3/1 | 84% | 60% | -0.24 |
| 29/08/2025 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 04/10/2025 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 26/10/2025 | 2nd | 15/8 | 90% | 86% | -0.04 |
| 21/11/2025 | 5th | 7/4 | 91% | 56% | -0.35 |
| 23/05/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 88% | +0.09 |
| 13/06/2026 | 4th | 11/8 | 93% | 57% | -0.36 |
| 12/07/2026 | 3rd | 11/10 | 94% | 50% | -0.44 |