3

Side Street

5yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 99

Woodbine · Race 10 - Niagara Stakes · 1m 3f

#8

Rank

Odds

15/8

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#8

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move1
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 2.7)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.5
Today:
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Woodbine 09/08/2024 · Pos 3rd of 5 · OR 80 · 1m1f Fas 120 · below its mark09/08/2024 · OR 80 par9/08C6OR 80C6 @ Woodbine 02/09/2024 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 89 · 1m2f Gd 120 · below its mark02/09/2024 · OR 89 parC5 @ Woodbine 29/09/2024 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 80 · 1m4f Gd 126 · beat its mark29/09/2024 · OR 80 par29/09C5OR 80C6 @ Belmont At The Big A 20/10/2024 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 91 · 1m3f Fas 120 · beat its mark20/10/2024 · OR 91 parC6 @ Woodbine 21/06/2025 · Pos 2nd of 12 · OR 94 · 1m110y 122 · below its mark21/06/2025 · OR 94 par21/06C6OR 94C5 @ Keeneland 03/04/2026 · Pos 6th of 12 · OR 100 · 1m1f Gd 118 · below its mark03/04/2026 · OR 100 parC6 @ Woodbine 02/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 98 · 1m110y 123 · below its mark02/05/2026 · OR 98 par2/05C6OR 98C6 @ Woodbine 31/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 97 · 1m110y 122 · below its mark31/05/2026 · OR 97 parC6 @ Woodbine 21/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 97 · 1m110y 122 · beat its mark21/06/2026 · OR 97 par21/06C6OR 97projClass-projected finish: 6th of 12
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-21Woodbine?1st2nd1
2026-05-31Woodbine?2nd3rd1
2026-05-02Woodbine?2nd3rd1
2026-04-03Keeneland?6th7th1
2025-06-21Woodbine?2nd3rd1
2024-10-20Belmont At The Big A?1st3rd2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today9/0820/102/0521/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 12
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 12.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
09/08/20243rd12/137%50%+0.13
02/09/20242nd4/179%83%+0.04
29/09/20243rd14/126%67%+0.40
20/10/20241st8/158%100%+0.42
21/06/20252nd9/276%91%+0.15
03/04/20266th20/10%55%+0.55
02/05/20262nd5/287%83%-0.04
31/05/20262nd10/382%86%+0.03
21/06/20261st15/890%100%+0.10