6

Swift Delivery

5yo Gelding · 8-9 · OR 106

Woodbine · Race 10 - Niagara Stakes · 1m 3f

#6

Rank

Odds

9/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#6

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move2
Strength74%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.0 /10 (raw 3.8)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C2.2
Today:
Class gap: +2.3
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA98 @ Woodbine 31/08/2024 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 98 · 1m Yie 121 · below its mark31/08/2024 · OR 98 par31/0898OR 98C1 @ Woodbine 19/10/2024 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 99 · 1m1f Fas 121 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark19/10/2024 · OR 99 parC6 @ Gulfstream 29/03/2025 · Pos 8th of 11 · OR 101 · 1m Fm 120 · below its mark29/03/2025 · OR 101 par29/03C6OR 101C6 @ Woodbine 01/06/2025 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 100 · 1m Fm 123 · below its mark01/06/2025 · OR 100 parC6 @ Woodbine 23/06/2025 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 103 · 1m110y Fas 123 · beat its mark23/06/2025 · OR 103 par23/06C6OR 103C1 @ Woodbine 02/08/2025 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 108 · 1m110y 121 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark02/08/2025 · OR 108 parC1 @ Kentucky Downs 06/09/2025 · Pos 10th of 13 · OR 106 · 1m Gd 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark06/09/2025 · OR 106 par6/09C1OR 106C1 @ Woodbine 08/11/2025 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR 108 · 1m1f 124 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark08/11/2025 · OR 108 parC0 @ Woodbine 30/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 108 · 1m110y Fas 122 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark30/05/2026 · OR 108 par30/05C?OR 108projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 12
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-05-30Woodbine?4th-1th+4
2025-11-08Woodbine?4th-1th+4
2025-09-06Kentucky Downs?10th5th+4
2025-08-02Woodbine?1st-4th+4
2025-06-23Woodbine?1st2nd1
2025-06-01Woodbine?3rd4th1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today31/081/066/0930/05
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 12
EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend
Strength86%

What the projection says

Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 7th of 12. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
31/08/20242nd5/493%80%-0.13
19/10/20245th5/287%33%-0.54
29/03/20258th12/137%30%-0.07
01/06/20253rd9/276%71%-0.05
23/06/20251st4/179%100%+0.21
02/08/20251st13/266%100%+0.34
06/09/202510th25/10%25%+0.25
08/11/20254th3/184%70%-0.14
30/05/20264th9/276%50%-0.26