10
Truly Quality
6yo Gelding · 8-9 · OR 112
Woodbine · Race 10 - Niagara Stakes · 1m 3f
#1
Rank
Odds
5/2
Win Prob
96%
Place Prob
78%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▼3
Strength76%
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 4 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 1.0 /10 (raw 2.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C1.8
Today:
Class gap: +2.7
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-27 | Laurel Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-18 | Keeneland | ? | 5th | 0th | +4 |
| 2026-03-22 | Santa Anita | ? | 4th | -1th | +4 |
| 2026-02-14 | Santa Anita | ? | 3rd | -2th | +4 |
| 2026-01-25 | Sam Houston Race Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-11-28 | Del Mar | ? | 1st | -4th | +4 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 12
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▲
Strength97%
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 1st of 12. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/11/2024 | 1st | 13/8 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 08/02/2025 | 6th | 13/8 | 91% | 17% | -0.75 |
| 31/08/2025 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 63% | -0.16 |
| 28/11/2025 | 1st | 7/4 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 25/01/2026 | 3rd | 1/1 | 95% | 71% | -0.23 |
| 14/02/2026 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 71% | -0.10 |
| 22/03/2026 | 4th | 11/10 | 94% | 57% | -0.37 |
| 18/04/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 60% | +0.44 |
| 27/06/2026 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 86% | -0.01 |