6

Deanna

3yo Filly · 8-8 · OR 73

Woodbine · Race 11 - Maiden Optional Claiming · 6f 110y

#6

Rank

Odds

15/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#6

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength37%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.6 /10 (raw 5.2)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: +0.5
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Woodbine 29/08/2025 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR - · 5f110y 118 · HIGHER CLASS29/08C6C5 @ Woodbine 14/09/2025 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 83 · 6f110y Fas 118 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark14/09/2025 · OR 83 par14/09C5OR 83C7 @ Woodbine 08/11/2025 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR 82 · 6f 118 · below its mark08/11/2025 · OR 82 par8/11C7OR 82C7 @ Woodbine 06/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR 77 · 6f Fas 119 · below its mark06/06/2026 · OR 77 par6/06C7OR 77C6 @ Woodbine 04/07/2026 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR 76 · 1m 118 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark04/07/2026 · OR 76 par4/07C6OR 76C7 @ Woodbine 18/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 74 · 7f110y Fm 120 · below its mark18/07/2026 · OR 74 par18/07C7OR 74projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 3
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-18Woodbine?5th5th0
2026-07-04Woodbine?8th7th+1
2026-06-06Woodbine?5th5th0
2025-11-08Woodbine?4th4th0
2025-09-14Woodbine?5th3rd+2
2025-08-29Woodbine?4th3rd+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today29/0814/098/116/064/0718/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 8
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength62%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 8.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
29/08/20254th7/163%40%-0.23
14/09/20255th25/10%33%+0.33
08/11/20254th7/163%67%+0.04
06/06/20265th16/116%56%+0.40
04/07/20268th33/10%13%+0.13
18/07/20265th15/261%33%-0.27