Bravo Kate
5yo Mare · 8-11 · OR 81
Woodbine · Race 2 - Claiming · 1m 110y
#2
Rank
Odds
10/3
Win Prob
29%
Place Prob
36%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.6 /10 (raw 4.3)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-11 | Woodbine | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-06-21 | Woodbine | ? | 1st | 0th | +1 |
| 2026-06-05 | Woodbine | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-11-29 | Woodbine | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-11-15 | Woodbine | ? | 11th | 10th | +1 |
| 2025-10-25 | Woodbine | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/08/2025 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 40% | -0.31 |
| 22/08/2025 | 9th | 15/2 | 61% | 0% | -0.61 |
| 02/10/2025 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 67% | -0.10 |
| 25/10/2025 | 1st | 6/1 | 68% | 100% | +0.32 |
| 15/11/2025 | 11th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 29/11/2025 | 1st | 10/1 | 47% | 100% | +0.53 |
| 05/06/2026 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 21/06/2026 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 11/07/2026 | 4th | 10/3 | 82% | 57% | -0.25 |