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6yo Mare · 8-9 · OR 81

Woodbine · Race 2 - Claiming · 1m 110y

#7

Rank

Odds

9/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#7

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength14%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Dropping 7 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 5.2)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Finger Lakes 05/11/2024 · Pos 4th of 5 · OR 76 · 6f Fas 124 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark05/11/2024 · OR 76 par5/11C6OR 76C8 @ Aqueduct 25/01/2025 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 80 · 6f Fas 121 · beat its mark25/01/2025 · OR 80 parC8 @ Aqueduct 02/03/2025 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR 82 · 6f110y Fas 121 · below its mark02/03/2025 · OR 82 par2/03C8OR 82C8 @ Aqueduct 16/03/2025 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR 81 · 6f Fas 123 · below its mark16/03/2025 · OR 81 parC8 @ Aqueduct 03/04/2025 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR 81 · 6f Fas 121 · beat its mark03/04/2025 · OR 81 par3/04C8OR 81C8 @ Aqueduct 10/04/2025 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 80 · 6f110y Fas 123 · below its mark10/04/2025 · OR 80 parC8 @ Belmont At The Big A 25/05/2025 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 82 · 6f Fas 123 · below its mark25/05/2025 · OR 82 par25/05C8OR 82C8 @ Woodbine 20/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 82 · 6f Fas 123 · below its mark20/06/2026 · OR 82 parC8 @ Woodbine 10/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 81 · 6f Fas 123 · below its mark10/07/2026 · OR 81 par10/07C8OR 81projClass-projected finish: 6th of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-10Woodbine?4th4th0
2026-06-20Woodbine?5th5th0
2025-05-25Belmont At The Big A?6th6th0
2025-04-10Aqueduct?2nd2nd0
2025-04-03Aqueduct?1st1st0
2025-03-16Aqueduct?5th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today5/1116/0325/0510/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 7
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength24%

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 7. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
05/11/20244th12/137%25%-0.12
25/01/20251st9/153%100%+0.47
02/03/20256th20/10%0%0.00
16/03/20255th7/163%50%-0.13
03/04/20251st13/266%100%+0.34
10/04/20252nd11/893%80%-0.13
25/05/20256th4/179%29%-0.50
20/06/20265th12/137%20%-0.17
10/07/20264th9/153%40%-0.13